Research Programme

The Velocity Trap
Research Programme

The programme examines why monetary velocity declines in modern economies and develops a formal architectural alternative to constraint-based Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) design. It also explores what current financial innovation opens up in possibilities for economies and monetary economics. It produces working papers, policy briefs, and comparative system analyses targeting academic journals and central bank policy audiences.

Established 2024
Working papers 4 in preparation
RAMICS 2026 Abstract accepted
Patents pending 2 across 5 jurisdictions

Research outputs

The programme produces working papers, policy briefs, and comparative analyses. All working papers will be posted to SSRN upon completion of internal review.

Working Paper
Architecture as Policy: Velocity Outcomes in the Wörgl Demurrage Experiment and the WIR Clearing Network
In preparation · Target: IJCCR · RAMICS 2026 accepted
Working Paper
Designing for Circulation: Architectural Separation vs. Constraint-Based CBDC Design
In preparation · Target: CEPR Discussion Paper → JME
Working Paper
Does Dual-Pocket CBDC Design Reduce Banking Disintermediation Risk?
In preparation · Target: Journal of Financial Stability
Working Paper
Demurrage Is Not a Negative Interest Rate: Four Dimensions of Non-Equivalence
In preparation · Target: Journal of Monetary Economics
Policy Brief · Forthcoming
The Digital Pound and the Velocity Problem
Forthcoming · Linked to FlowCheck baseline analysis
Policy Brief · Forthcoming
The Digital Euro Inflection Point
Forthcoming · Linked to FlowCheck baseline analysis

Additional papers in pipeline across six theoretical modules. Full research agenda available on request.

Research, intellectual property, and funding

The programme operates a translational research model. Research is pursued through standard academic channels — working papers, journal publication, conference engagement. The underlying monetary architecture is protected through intellectual property, which the programme intends to commercialise through licensing and partnership with institutional deployment partners. The programme is actively seeking grant funding and sponsored research arrangements to support its research agenda through to commercial maturity.

Intellectual property
Patent Application
System and Method for Dual-Tier Digital Currency
Filed · Pending in 5 jurisdictions
Patent Application
System Integrating AI-Driven Analytics and Blockchain Technology to Enhance Monetary Policies
Filed · Pending in 5 jurisdictions
All published research includes the corresponding conflict-of-interest disclosures in accordance with journal standards.
Grant funding

The programme is engaging with foundations, research councils, and institutional sponsors whose missions align with research in monetary architecture, financial stability, and the design of public payment systems. Suitable instruments include project grants, named research fellowships, and sponsored research arrangements. Enquiries from prospective funders are welcome at info@thevelocitytrap.co.uk.

The design problem

Four major central banks are currently designing retail CBDC architectures. Each is independently encountering the same structural problem: when digital money is attractive, it gets hoarded; when it gets hoarded, velocity declines. Each institution is responding with constraints — holding limits, non-remuneration, intermediation rules. The programme argues that constraint-based approaches manage the symptom. Architectural separation addresses the cause. The programme proposes an alternative: a dual-instrument architecture in which spending and saving functions are carried by separately designed monetary instruments rather than reconciled within a single one.

The Symbiotic Monetary System
European Central Bank
Developing the digital euro. The preparation phase concluded in October 2025; legislation expected in 2026, pilot from mid-2027, with potential first issuance during 2029. Design parameters under negotiation include holding limits and non-remuneration of balances.
Bank of England
Running the Digital Pound Lab (August 2025 to July 2026), supporting the design-phase blueprint. Published design notes examine programmability, incentives, and the spending/saving balance in retail CBDC design, with a decision on next steps expected in 2026.
Monetary Authority of Singapore
Deployed Purpose-Bound Money through Project Orchid. Operational programmable money with defined spending conditions at institutional scale.
Banco Central do Brasil
Drex pilot rescoped during 2025: the distributed-ledger element was set aside on privacy and cost grounds, with a centralised architecture now targeting launch from 2026. Tokenisation and credit use cases remain part of the longer-term roadmap.

Core research questions

The programme is organised around four research strands. Each produces working papers targeting specific journals and co-author relationships with researchers at the BIS, Bank of England, ECB, IMF, and leading universities.

How do constraint-based and architecture-based CBDC designs compare in welfare terms?
Formal modelling · General equilibrium · Target: JME, CEPR
Under what conditions does architectural monetary separation reduce banking disintermediation risk?
Financial stability models · Calibration to eurozone data · Target: JFS, IJCB
What were the architectural determinants of velocity outcomes in historical complementary currency systems?
Comparative historical analysis · Wörgl, WIR, Sardex · Target: IJCCR
Is demurrage-based face-value erosion macroeconomically equivalent to negative interest rates?
Brunnermeier–Niepelt equivalence framework · Four-dimensional analysis · Target: JME

The programme also examines behavioural economics of monetary separation, fiscal architecture, merchant circulation dynamics, and system-level emergence.

The Velocity Trap

A book-length treatment of the programme's central argument: that monetary velocity decline is an architectural problem requiring an architectural solution, not a better constraint. The book proposes the Symbiotic Monetary System — a dual-instrument architecture separating spending and saving functions — and develops the theoretical, empirical, and policy case for its adoption.

Status
Manuscript in development.
Expected publication
Q2 2027
Target audience
Monetary economists, central bank researchers, policy analysts, and informed general readers.

FlowCheck

FlowCheck supports the programme's empirical analysis. It is a comparative CBDC architecture evaluation platform: FlowCheck uses LLM-assisted document analysis with researcher review to produce structured comparative assessments of central bank design parameters. FlowCheck outputs feed directly into the programme's policy briefs and comparative working papers.

Free tier
Velocity dashboard tracking monetary aggregates across major currencies. Wörgl demurrage simulator. Comparative friction analysis across digital and physical money instruments.
Research tier
Parameterised models of major CBDC designs, with adjustable holding limits, remuneration regimes, and architectural assumptions. For monetary economists and institutional researchers.

FlowCheck is in active development. Access details and research-tier pricing will be announced at launch.

Programme team

Cordoba Research and Innovation
H.E. Adel M. Fakeih
Founder and Programme Sponsor
Cordoba Research and Innovation
Ahmed O. Bakr, CFA, CAIA
Co-Founder · Director, IP, Technology and Financial Policy
Cordoba Research and Innovation
Dimitris Platchias, PhD
Founding Member · Programme and Research Director
University of Glasgow · Cordoba Research and Innovation

Honorary Research Fellow at the University of Glasgow, with a PhD in Philosophy and Cognitive Science. Author of books published by Routledge and MIT Press and former lecturer at the Universities of Glasgow, York, and Essex. He brings expertise in research design and editorial coordination to the Velocity Trap programme.

Mustafa Ansari
Head of Information Technology and Decision Enablement
Cordoba Research and Innovation

Affiliations listed for identification purposes only. The programme is recruiting a permanent domain expert in monetary economics with CEPR or NBER affiliation and central bank research experience. Enquiries welcome.

Key institutions and reading

Co-authorship and collaboration

The programme engages with academic researchers, policy institutions, and research networks through co-authored working papers, conference presentations, and policy submissions. Enquiries from monetary economists, CBDC researchers, financial stability specialists, prospective funders, and partnership enquiries are welcome.

info@thevelocitytrap.co.uk
Cite as
The Velocity Trap Research Programme. Cordoba Research and Innovation, 2024–. thevelocitytrap.co.uk